Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.650540 0.770919 0.901806 1.054008 1.225425 1.411813 1.629086
2025-04-13 0.441307 0.601458 0.794014 1.039166 1.339348 1.691265 2.131093
2025-04-20 0.310181 0.484032 0.713733 1.030744 1.447480 1.966919 2.652585
2025-04-27 0.226039 0.401773 0.655289 1.031180 1.556183 2.244459 3.193586
2025-05-04 0.165742 0.335177 0.601140 1.022385 1.643229 2.493322 3.709449
2025-05-11 0.119538 0.276237 0.543905 0.995590 1.695391 2.692037 4.164947
2025-05-18 0.091464 0.239687 0.513198 1.001169 1.790073 2.951027 4.712984
2025-05-25 0.066455 0.200174 0.468192 0.974652 1.829191 3.127851 5.150094
2025-06-01 0.051903 0.177543 0.448448 0.986065 1.925939 3.392215 5.723042
2025-06-08 0.039175 0.153991 0.421421 0.979396 1.990025 3.607746 6.231189
2025-06-15 0.033382 0.146381 0.425515 1.029882 2.152993 3.984065 6.995673
2025-06-22 0.027292 0.135211 0.419323 1.058995 2.279765 4.307818 7.691482
2025-06-29 0.019668 0.115355 0.389564 1.038918 2.320594 4.500332 8.201896
2025-07-06 0.015259 0.104203 0.378472 1.056013 2.430734 4.813416 8.917180
2025-07-13 0.011429 0.092540 0.363117 1.061621 2.519387 5.094709 9.593314
2025-07-20 0.008514 0.082441 0.349291 1.068339 2.609910 5.382759 10.290715
2025-07-27 0.006046 0.071927 0.331134 1.062050 2.673531 5.626205 10.923096
2025-08-03 0.003951 0.060515 0.306349 1.035638 2.693527 5.792475 11.432217
2025-08-10 0.002816 0.053973 0.295494 1.041916 2.780342 6.080893 12.154750
2025-08-17 0.001729 0.045159 0.273198 1.014790 2.793814 6.235606 12.654344
2025-08-24 0.001209 0.040765 0.266005 1.026665 2.891121 6.547345 13.431153
2025-08-31 0.000758 0.035436 0.252854 1.019828 2.946298 6.782112 14.081238
2025-09-07 0.000620 0.034784 0.259931 1.071935 3.136634 7.278889 15.202651